{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "scope": "Three quantitative homepage indicators, not a census of all research claims.",
  "updated_on": "2026-10-16",
  "policy": "Null means unmeasured or unreported, never zero. Figures are from linked sources; do not treat them as independently reproduced unless stated.",
  "claims": [
    {
      "id": "identity",
      "estimate": "0.0000",
      "label": "Max absolute logit identity error",
      "unit": "logits, reported to 4 decimal places",
      "n": null,
      "n_unit": "independent validation runs",
      "comparator": "repeated clean baseline; self-overwrite; final-state logit-lens checks",
      "uncertainty": null,
      "missing": [
        "Independent run count not specified",
        "No interval reported; implementation check, not a population estimate"
      ],
      "status": "agent-reported code check",
      "source": "https://enactedvolition.github.io/portability.html",
      "provenance": "Manus-run Mottled portability study; Mottled commit f244c6e; batch size 1",
      "limitation": "Checks instrument consistency, not generality of causal transplant results."
    },
    {
      "id": "transplant",
      "estimate": "−0.290",
      "label": "Same − unrelated transfer efficiency",
      "unit": "middle-layer normalized transfer effect",
      "n": 32,
      "n_unit": "directional transplant units",
      "comparator": "same-relation vs unrelated-relation donors (states 9–16)",
      "uncertainty": "Pair-clustered 95% bootstrap interval [−0.363, −0.224]; paired sign-flip p = 3.05×10⁻⁵",
      "missing": [
        "No independent replication"
      ],
      "status": "single external-agent study",
      "source": "https://enactedvolition.github.io/portability.html",
      "provenance": "Manus-designed and -run preregistered Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct study",
      "limitation": "One model and one factual-cloze intervention; experiment not independently replicated."
    },
    {
      "id": "projection",
      "estimate": "0.37–0.64",
      "label": "Mean neighbourhood preservation",
      "unit": "fraction across four saved sample scenes",
      "n": 4,
      "n_unit": "sample scenes",
      "comparator": null,
      "uncertainty": null,
      "missing": [
        "No task-level linear probe comparator",
        "No interval reported across independent runs"
      ],
      "status": "exploratory visualization diagnostic",
      "source": "https://enactedvolition.github.io/mottled/viewer/?file=samples/self-portrait.mtj",
      "provenance": "Mottled fidelity_summary on four sample scenes, as reported in homepage ledger",
      "limitation": "In 3/4 scenes, more than half the states fall below the 0.5 fidelity flag. Not evidence of predictive usefulness."
    }
  ]
}